Geopolitical

What Would a Third Modi Term Mean for India?

India’s national election will commence on April 19, with results announced on June 4. As the opposition is divided, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is a safe bet for a third term on his record of a strong and growing economy, Hindu identity and making Indians feel good about their country’s rising global voice.

By Khozem Merchant
17 April 2024

Engaging with this year's G7

With Italy’s push for tangible results, an unprecedentedly high number of sector-specific meetings and a focus on Africa and AI, companies and leaders have the chance to contribute to this G7 and bring forward their perspectives.

By Alessandro Iozzia
26 February 2024

Dambisa Moyo

“The world we’ve been living in, where democratic, capitalistic states dominate, is a historical aberration,” says the global economist, author and board member.

By Kevin Helliker
01 February 2024

Reflections on Davos

The 2024 WEF Annual Meeting in Davos illustrated the multitude and variety of issues business leaders are facing daily: polarizing geopolitical issues, ethical discussions around artificial intelligence, the impact of elections for over half the world’s population and the opportunities and challenges in emerging markets.

By Ken Weinstein
31 January 2024

Campaigner

The Iowa Caucus played a famously large role in the career of Patti Solis Doyle, a Brunswick Partner who is Head of the firm’s US Public Affairs practice.

By Patti Solis Doyle
10 January 2024

2024 Look-Ahead

10 Geopolitical Issues for Businesses

14 December 2023

Eight Key Elections to Watch in 2024

In 2024, countries making up over 50% of global GDP will undergo decisive elections. The results will both reflect and impact an increasingly precarious geopolitical and economic environment.

08 September 2023

G7 2023: Key Takeaways

Unity was the key theme of this G7 Summit, with an unexpectedly successful display of alignment on China, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and engagement with the Global South’s economic concerns.

By Kate Fall
22 May 2023

The Inflation Reduction Act: US-EU Relations

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is a turning point in US economic and climate policy and has reenergized conversations in Europe about transatlantic relations and domestic competitiveness.

30 March 2023

Are Geopolitics Trumping Geoeconomics?

A Conversation with Pascal Lamy

By Pascal Lamy
10 January 2023

Peace Comes Dropping Slow

A commitment to the hard work of tackling global challenges explains the purpose and success of the Paris Peace Forum, Founder Justin Vaïsse tells the Brunswick Review.

By Kevin Helliker
09 November 2022

Familiar Face of Good

Centuries-old traditions in Asia offer new value. By Tim Payne, Joanna Donne, Daisuke Tsuchiya and Yoichiro Sato.

By Daisuke Tsuchiya
21 June 2022

Brunswick Geopolitical

Even before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, inflation and geopolitics were critical challenges to the global economy.

By Nick Rice
20 May 2022

Brunswick Geopolitical Webinar

The world has been watching for three weeks as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has unfolded and swiftly escalated into a humanitarian crisis and major economic challenge.

17 March 2022

The Paris Peace Forum

Brunswick’s Pascal Lamy, President of the Paris Peace Forum, describes the opportunities the event presents for global corporations to engage with governments, peers and civil society toward solving the world’s toughest problems.

By Pascal Lamy
15 March 2022

The Road from COP26

New Brunswick research on what the public took away from the historic climate conference.

By Katharine Peacock
15 March 2022

What Biden Could Say

A former Chief Speechwriter for President Clinton says Tuesday’s State of the Union is an essential platform for asserting leadership on Ukraine and on matters back home.

By Don Baer
28 February 2022

Help Capitalism Save the World... and Save Capitalism Itself

Paris offers a symbolic platform to do both, says Brunswick’s Hakim El Karoui.

11 November 2021

Goodbye, Angela Merkel

As her reign nears its end, Brunswick’s Carl Hohenthal recalls the politician he knew long before her 16 years as German Chancellor.

18 May 2021

Frans Timmermans on the European Green Deal

His task: translate the climate ambitions of 27 countries and 455 million people into political reality.

By Pascal Lamy
29 April 2021

Biden-Harris Administration's Next Steps on Tech - Cybersecurity

The global supply chain attack on SolarWinds, which was uncovered by the American cybersecurity company FireEye in December 2020, and the attacks on Microsoft Exchange Server products, announced in March, are undeniably shaping the U.S. cyber policy landscape for 2021. As the investigations into these cyber incidents continue, we’re watching a number of key issues.

By Siobhan Gorman
25 March 2021

US-UK Relations under Biden

As the world considers what a Joe Biden victory means for them, Anthony Gardner – former US Ambassador to the European Union and Brunswick Group Senior Advisor – looks at the future of US-UK relations and concludes that the bilateral relationship “will not only remain strong but in reality will be stronger” as sovereign interests have rarely been so aligned in a hostile world.

By Anthony Gardner
10 November 2020

Iconoclastic Economics: Dambisa Moyo

The fate of the global economy does not rest on the US election, says Dr. Moyo. “It’s bad, whatever happens.” By Kevin Helliker.

By Kevin Helliker
15 October 2020

Trade in Europe: How to cope with different rules

As the end of the Brexit transitional period looms, Sir Jonathan Faull – Partner and Chair of European Public Affairs, Brunswick, Brussels – looks at the question of trade in Europe and how countries with different laws trade with each other.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
10 September 2020

Hong Kong Autonomy Act and Executive Order on Hong Kong Status

Trump announced actions in response to China’s enactment of a national security law for Hong Kong.

16 July 2020

A US Trade Agenda With Europe For A Biden Administration

Now that Joe Biden is registering a significant lead over Donald Trump in nation-wide polling for the November presidential race, attention is turning to what trade policy his administration would pursue with Europe.

By Anthony Gardner
10 July 2020

The Changed EU Landscape

The pandemic has altered the future of Europe, says Brunswick’s Sir Jonathan Faull.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
06 July 2020

Fragile Legitimacy

Brunswick’s Preston Golson and George Little, both former CIA officers, tell Carlton Wilkinson about the role of intelligence and the US’s national crisis of faith.

24 June 2020

Intelligence Report

Two former CIA officers, now with Brunswick, discuss the past and future of the US.

24 June 2020

A Missing Element in the Response to COVID-19: US-EU Cooperation

This week’s note is from Anthony Gardner, Brunswick Senior Advisor and former United States Ambassador to the European Union (2014-17) and Director for European Affairs, National Security Council (1994-95). This article represents his own personal views.

By Anthony Gardner
21 April 2020

COVID-19 & China: A View from Asia

This week’s note is from George Yeo, Brunswick Geopolitical Principal and former Singapore Cabinet member for Health (1994–97), Trade and Industry (1999–2004) and Foreign Affairs (2004–11). This article represents his own personal views.

By George Yeo
16 April 2020

Trade Bites: Testing the Special Relationship: Prospects for a UK-US Trade Deal

Podcast from UKTPO on trade policy. Brunswick's Jonathan Faull joins Chris Horseman, Michael Gasiorek, Iana Dreyer, and Alan Beattie.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
14 February 2020

Feed the World

The head of the UN’s World Food Programme talks to Brunswick’s Robert Moran about the role of business in global food security.

By Robert Moran
22 January 2020

Drawing the Line on Deforestation

Helmy Othman Basha, Managing Director of palm oil producer Sime Darby Plantation, talks with Brunswick's Lucy Parker about transparency as the front-line of transforming the industry.

By Lucy Parker
22 January 2020

Lifeline

When Sierra Leone was in the throes of the deadly Ebola outbreak, Africell mobilized a comprehensive response. Brunswick’s Sam Williams talks to the CEO.

By Sam Williams
22 January 2020

Medicine Where Needed

Takeda stood out on the Access to Medicine Index by jumping from No. 15 in 2016 to the No. 5 slot in 2018. To get the story behind that, Brunswick’s Ben Fry and Will Carnwath interview Takeda’s Dr. Susanne Weissbaecker.

By Will Carnwath
22 January 2020

Issue Focus: Climate Geopolitics

The focus of the debut edition of the Brunswick Social Value Review is Climate Geopolitics, Jon Miller takes a look at the featured articles.

By Jon Miller
22 January 2020

Shifting Power Balance in a Low-Carbon World

Pascal Lamy, Brunswick’s Chair of Europe and former Director-General of the World Trade Organization, on the global energy dynamics.

By Pascal Lamy
22 January 2020

The Climate Leaders of the Future

Cities, citizens and corporations are stepping into a climate leadership void, says Brunswick Geopolitical Principal Lord Charles Powell, former Private Secretary and Advisor to two UK prime ministers.

By Lord Charles Powell
22 January 2020

Geopolitical Impact

Climate change is redrawing the map, not just of the physical world, but the political and economic.

22 January 2020

U.S.-Iran Crisis: Outlook and Implications

Executive Summary: The immediate crisis following the death of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani in a U.S. airstrike and Iran’s retaliatory missile strikes against two U.S. airbases appears to have settled down. However, the conditions for a future flare-up remain in place because the underlying conditions have not changed. Going forward, each side is likely to double down on its stated strategic objective, with Iran pushing for an end to U.S. presence in the region and the U.S. pushing for an end to the Iranian nuclear program. Further, the norms that had previously prevented an open exchange of fire between the two sides have been eroded.

By Michael Rogers
09 January 2020

Tracking Public Opinion Towards US-China Trade Tensions

Brunswick’s second wave of the US-China Trade Tracker finds increased skepticism toward businesses and worry among consumers of the economic impact of the trade dispute.

By Yan Mei
19 November 2019

关于中美贸易摩擦的民意追踪

博然思维第二期的《中美贸易关系追踪》调研结果显示，越来越多的两国消费者对于对方国的企业持怀疑态度，并且对贸易争端所带来的经济影响表示担忧。

By Yan Mei
19 November 2019

Making Waves

Scientist, ocean conservationist and social entrepreneur Dr. Ayana Elizabeth Johnson tells Brunswick’s Preston Golson and Liz Dahan about corporate action and transparency needed in the climate crisis.

By Preston Golson
18 September 2019

The Big Job

President and CEO of the UN Foundation Kathy Calvin talks to Brunswick’s Robert Moran about taking on the world’s greatest challenges, including empowering women and girls.

By Robert Moran
18 September 2019

The Weight of the EU

Brunswick’s Sir Jonathan Faull examines the challenges awaiting Ursula von der Leyen.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
18 September 2019

Africa and the Inequality Forecast

Without radical change in the global economy, geopolitical crisis is likely to get far worse.

By Itumeleng Mahabane
18 September 2019

David Axelrod

The former senior political advisor to President Barack Obama says business must respond creatively to “revolutionary times.” He talks to a former Obama administration colleague, Brunswick CEO Neal Wolin.

By Neal Wolin
11 September 2019

New Insight Research on Business Risks of US-China Trade Tensions

Brunswick’s new US-China Trade Tracker explores the business impact of the trade tensions.

By Yan Mei
26 June 2019

博然思维最新发布《中美贸易关系追踪简报》探讨贸易紧张局势对商业的影响。

根据1000名美国消费者和1000名中国消费者的观点，调研结果显示存在以下重大风险：

By 梅燕，高级合伙人，中国区主席
26 June 2019

Pride of Tanzania

During the 10 days that Africa’s youngest billionaire, Mohammed Dewji, was captured and held hostage in Tanzania, an extraordinary thing happened. Throngs of everyday Tanzanians, many struggling with poverty, poured into the streets and took to social media to pray for his release.

04 June 2019

Matt Damon and Gary White Turn On a Life-Saving Faucet

The Water.org founders argue the way to bring clean water and sanitation to the poor of the world at scale isn’t by drilling wells or installing toilets. Nor is it through charity alone. The solution, they say, is market-based financing.

By Edward Stephens
04 June 2019

No Longer Live Aid Ethiopia

A terrible plane crash highlights a nation's progress.

By Itumeleng Mahabane
04 June 2019

Corporate Longevity

The average lifespan of a business varies by region.

By Wenchi Wei
04 June 2019

“Slowbalization”

Anne-Mari Virolainen, Finland’s Minister for Foreign Trade, talks to Brunswick’s Robert Moran about “the spaghetti bowl” of trade rules.

By Robert Moran
04 June 2019

Nations & Partners

The UK Ambassador to Brazil tells Brunswick’s Robert Moran he is optimistic about future relations between the two countries.

By Robert Moran
04 June 2019

China’s Global Ambitions: Through the World’s Eyes

Brunswick Insight’s Peter Zysk and Rachael Layfield on China’s growing influence.

By Peter Zysk
04 June 2019

Anthony Gardner - China and Europe: Challenges and Opportunities

Seen from China, Europe looks both like a challenging place to invest and a wonderful opportunity at the same time.

By Anthony Gardner
16 May 2019

Pascal Lamy: Saving the WTO

The WTO is under threat, and that threat comes from two places. The first – which has been around for more than a decade – can be called the ‘swamp’; the second and newer challenge is President Trump.

By Pascal Lamy
24 April 2019

Themes to Watch: Brexit, North Korea, ISIS

In this issue: - Brexit: With the extension past 29 March confirmed, we look again at the chances of Prime Minister May’s deal passing through the House of Commons. - North Korea: We look at why President Trump and Kim Jong Un’s summit in Hanoi was cut short, plus what we can expect of the negotiations going forward. - ISIS: Victory over what remained of the caliphate in Iraq and Syria has been declared, but is ISIS over?

22 March 2019

Prospects for a Transatlantic Trade Deal

Brunswick Geopolitical’s Anthony Gardner, former US ambassador to the EU, outlines the potential for a US-EU trade deal.

By Anthony Gardner
28 February 2019

Themes to Watch: Venezuela, Brexit, Khashoggi, State of Emergency

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses.

20 February 2019

Indian Elections

In advance of the May elections, Brunswick Geopolitical asked Khozem Merchant, Brunswick Partner and Head of our Mumbai Office, to reflect on the current political situation in India.

By Khozem Merchant
14 February 2019

Tim Griffin: Border Security and Government Shut Down

Brunswick Geopolitical asked Tim Griffin to reflect on and explain the current situation in the United States concerning the government impasse and President Trump’s border security policy.

05 February 2019

Huawei and US-China trade

US prosecutors’ indictment of employees of Chinese technology giant Huawei – including its founder, Ren Zhengfei – on 28 January has heightened the controversy surrounding the firm and appears to complicate efforts to end the trade war between Washington and Beijing.

By George Yeo
01 February 2019

Themes to Watch January 2019: Davos, US-China, Brexit

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses.

25 January 2019

A summary of Davos 2019

Another year, another World Economic Forum in Davos. What is new this year?

By Anthony Gardner
25 January 2019

What does Globalization 4.0 actually mean?

The Davos aesthetic, snow boots, spikes and suits, looks discordant anywhere else in the world. The Davos debate is similar.

23 January 2019

Brexit is not a preoccupation for Davos

The absence of senior representatives of France, the UK and the USA, three of the leading countries which created and sustained that multilateral, rules-based system of Davos, does not go unnoticed.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
22 January 2019

Populism: Troublesome Signs for the EU

Five trends bode ill for stability.

By Anthony Gardner
10 January 2019

Brexit and Brussels

Last week’s meeting of the European Council (summit of presidents and prime ministers) confirmed that the EU does not want to reopen the withdrawal agreement. However, there is said to be willingness to offer clarification or explanation in response to the concerns expressed in the House of Commons.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
17 December 2018

Anti-Money Laundering Reform in Europe

Recent money laundering scandals in Europe have led to calls for tighter controls and an overhaul of Europe’s system for combatting financial crimes.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
13 December 2018

Themes to watch December 2018

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses. Authored by Dominick Donald, former foreign affairs and defence editorial writer at The Times, our “Events to Watch” looks at some of emerging global themes over the coming months.

11 December 2018

US-China trade relations: the Huawei Arrest

Tensions in US China relations were taken to an entirely new level last Thursday with the news that Meng Wanzhou, the chief financial officer and deputy chairman of Huawei, as well as the daughter of the firm's founder, was arrested in Vancouver at the request of the US authorities.

By Yan Mei
10 December 2018

Themes to Watch: Iran, EU, World Economy

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses. Authored by Dominick Donald, former foreign affairs and defence editorial writer at The Times, our “Events to Watch” looks at some of emerging global themes over the coming months

20 November 2018

Executive Briefing: Brexit bulletin

The draft withdrawal agreement under which the UK will leave the EU on 29 March 2019 is now the subject of high political drama in London.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
16 November 2018

Iran sanctions: five things to know about Monday’s announcement

On Monday, the United States completed the re-imposition of sanctions suspended as part of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), also known as the Iran deal, related to Iran’s nuclear program.

06 November 2018

Themes to Watch November 2018

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses. Authored by Dominick Donald, former foreign affairs and defence editorial writer at The Times, our “Events to Watch” looks at some of emerging global themes over the coming months

02 November 2018

Background on U.S. Midterm Elections

In U.S. midterm elections, the party out of power usually experiences Congressional gains during the first midterm election of a new President, particularly if the incumbent President's approval rating is less than 50 percent.

25 October 2018

Themes to Watch October 2018

Brunswick Geopolitical helps companies understand the complexities and risk in key markets around the world, enabling them to better anticipate, prepare for and react to significant geopolitical events that affect their businesses. Authored by Dominick Donald, former foreign affairs and defence editorial writer at The Times, our “Events to Watch” looks at some of emerging global themes over the coming months.

16 October 2018

WTO predictions

In defence of multilateralism

By Pascal Lamy
15 October 2018

The human cost of data unshared

A data entrepreneur inside the UN, Robert Kirkpatrick talks to the Brunswick Review

15 October 2018

A vote for change against all odds

How a simple grassroots campaign caught fire, ousted Malaysia's entrenched ruling party and unified the nation

15 October 2018

ASEAN as a beneficiary of the current trade war between the US and China

Prolonged trial of strength between US and China.

By George Yeo
08 October 2018

Try to Look Beyond Today’s Quarrels

On the 16th September, Ambassador Bob Zoellick, former President of the World Bank, US Trade Representative and Deputy Secretary at the US Department of State and current Geopolitical Principal at Brunswick Group, gave the opening remarks at the China Development Forum in Beijing. The event marked the 40th anniversary of China’s Reform and Opening, initiated by Deng Xiaoping at the Third Plenum of the Eleventh Central Committee in 1978. These notes are his speech from that day.

By Robert Zoellick
27 September 2018

Populism: Troublesome Signs for the EU

The rise of populism around the world, including in Europe, is certainly not a new phenomenon. It has been a major preoccupation for many decades, but it has resurfaced with growing vigor after the 2007 financial crisis. It features increasingly at the top of the EU’s list of concerns because of some serious recent developments. There are (at least) five reasons why the populist challenge is more dangerous than ever before.

By Anthony Gardner
14 September 2018

The breaks

The likely fallout from the current Brexit confusion

By Sir Jonathan Faull
13 September 2018

Brexit: History is about to be written.

As autumn looms and chilly weather returns to northern Europe, Brussels and London face a big question: where do the Brexit negotiations stand as they enter what should be their final few months?

By Sir Jonathan Faull
07 September 2018

Could a Trillion-Dollar Trade War Actually Occur?

On July 6, the United States started imposing a 25 per cent import tariff on $34 billion of Chinese imports on a list of 818 products. On the same day, China retaliated by imposing an identical tariff on an identical value of US imports.

By Anthony Gardner
16 July 2018

Post Chequers Brexit Deal

The British Government has agreed part of its negotiation position with the EU. The “Chequers Agreement” should be taken to be the Government’s position until further notice, notwithstanding the Cabinet changes that followed it.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
11 July 2018

Africa bucks the political risk trend

African countries are doing their own up-ending of the world view

By Itumeleng Mahabane
11 June 2018

A painful separation

Brexit remains messy at best and its costs unclear

By Pascal Lamy
11 June 2018

Speaking in tongues

The EU has become a laboratory for a new lingua franca, a branch of English shaped by non-English speakers

By Claire Thomas-Daoulas
11 June 2018

Trump-Kim Summit in Singapore

President Trump will soon be meeting North Korean President Kim Jong-Un in Singapore

By George Yeo
16 May 2018

President Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran deal

The possible outcomes after President Trump's actions on the Iran deal

By Anthony Gardner
14 May 2018

ASEAN re-triangulating: a note from George Yeo

Ahead of the 32nd ASEAN Summit, Brunswick Geopolitical Principal and former Singaporean Cabinet Minister, George Yeo, looks at the future for ASEAN.

By George Yeo
05 April 2018

Brexit: is the end game beginning?

After several false starts, political disputes within the British Government and bouts of take it or leave it bravado, some clarity is beginning to emerge.

By Sir Jonathan Faull
13 March 2018

Reputation on the world stage

Financial value is at risk as Chinese companies, in the lead for global M&A, struggle with the reputation of “China Inc.”

07 March 2018

Trump and the WTO

The World Trade organization is facing disruption after 20 years of preventing trade wars

By Pascal Lamy
07 March 2018

Wolin on CFIUS

Brunswick's Chief Executive Officer, Neal Wolin, chaired CFIUS for five years. He shares his views on the regulatory process today

By Neal Wolin
08 February 2018

The view from Davos reported by Ambassador Anthony Gardner

This year at Davos the chatter at the myriad events in the Congress Center and briefings and receptions was about three interlocking themes.

By Anthony Gardner
26 January 2018

Ambassador Anthony Gardner responds to Trumps speech at Davos 2018

Are Trumps policies the right prescription for the sickness of a fractured world?

By Anthony Gardner
26 January 2018

Davos executive briefing day 3

Thought leadership and key themes from the final day of Davos

By Anthony Gardner
26 January 2018

Davos executive briefing day two

Thought leadership and key themes from the second day of Davos

25 January 2018

Davos executive briefing day one

Thought leadership and key themes from the first day of Davos

By Sir Jonathan Faull
24 January 2018

Bob Zoellick: Recent Thinking

Bob Zoellick has written a wide range of articles analyzing the Trump presidency and the impact on world trade and foreign policy.

By Robert Zoellick
01 October 2017

Pascal Lamy: Recent Thinking

Pascal Lamy has contributed to a wide range of articles and reports analyzing the impact of Brexit and populism on Europe.

By Pascal Lamy
18 January 2017